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DILLARD'S, INC. (DDS)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2026 EPS and revenue beat S&P Global consensus, driven by disciplined SG&A and resilient retail gross margin, despite modest comps decline; EPS $10.39 vs consensus $9.25, and revenue $1.547B vs consensus $1.541B. Net sales were $1.529B; consolidated gross margin 43.9%; retail gross margin 45.5% . Consensus figures marked with asterisks are from S&P Global (see Estimates Context).
  • Mix was mixed: strength in juniors/children and men’s apparel; softness in home/furniture, shoes and ladies’ apparel; inventory up 6% YoY as the company balanced availability with demand .
  • Guidance on FY2025 cost items (D&A, rentals, interest and capex) was maintained vs Q4, keeping capex at $120M and net interest income at ~$8M; repurchases totaled $98M (~276k shares) in the quarter, supporting EPS resilience .
  • Stock reaction: external coverage noted a positive response to the beat on May 15, 2025 (approx +6%), suggesting near-term support from the earnings surprise and capital returns .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Beat on EPS and total revenue versus S&P consensus, with disciplined SG&A (27.6% of sales) and healthy retail gross margin (45.5%): “We kept expenses under control and reported a healthy gross margin” — CEO William T. Dillard, II .
    • Category strength in juniors/children and men’s apparel supported margin quality despite comps -1% .
    • Strong capital returns and liquidity: $98M buybacks (~276k shares) and $1.2B cash + short-term investments; authorization remaining $175M under the program .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line softness: total retail sales -2% and comps -1%; weaker categories included home/furniture, shoes and ladies’ apparel .
    • Margin compression YoY: retail gross margin down 70bps (45.5% vs 46.2%) and consolidated GM down 70bps (43.9% vs 44.6%) .
    • Inventory +6% YoY, indicating heavier positions amid uncertain demand; investors will watch conversion in coming quarters .

Financial Results

Quarterly comparison (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$1.427 $2.017 $1.529
Total Revenue incl. Service Charges ($USD Billions)$1.451 $2.052 $1.547
Consolidated Gross Margin %42.6% 34.9% 43.9%
Retail Gross Margin %44.5% 36.1% 45.5%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$418.9 $452.0 $421.7
Operating Expenses (% of Sales)29.4% 22.4% 27.6%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$124.6 $214.4 $163.8
Diluted EPS ($USD)$7.73 $13.48 $10.39
Net Income Margin %8.7% 10.6% 10.7%

Year-over-year (Q1 2025 → Q1 2026)

MetricQ1 2025Q1 2026
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$1.549 $1.529
Total Retail Sales ($USD Billions)$1.493 $1.468
Comparable Store Sales (%)- [ - ]-1%
Consolidated Gross Margin %44.6% 43.9%
Retail Gross Margin %46.2% 45.5%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$426.7 $421.7
Operating Expenses (% of Sales)27.5% 27.6%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$180.0 $163.8
Diluted EPS ($USD)$11.09 $10.39
Inventory Change YoY (%)+6%

Segment breakdown (Retail vs. Net Sales)

MetricQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
Total Retail Sales ($USD Billions)$1.356 $1.943 $1.468
Net Sales (incl. CDI) ($USD Billions)$1.427 $2.017 $1.529

Estimates vs. Actual (Q1 2026)

MetricConsensus*Actual
Primary EPS ($USD)$9.25*$10.39
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.541*$1.547

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
Comparable Store Sales YoY (%)-4% -1% -1%
Inventory YoY (%)+3% +7% +6%
Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$107.0 $14.0 $98.0
Total Stores (incl. clearance centers)273 272 272

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Depreciation & Amortization ($USD Millions)FY2025180 180 Maintained
Rentals ($USD Millions)FY202520 20 Maintained
Interest and debt (income) expense, net ($USD Millions)FY2025(8) (8) Maintained
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)FY2025120 120 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: Dillard’s does not conduct earnings calls; themes are from company releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2025)Previous Mentions (Q4 2025)Current Period (Q1 2026)Trend
Expense controlWorked to control expenses; SG&A 29.4% of sales SG&A 22.4% of sales; reduced partly due to calendar effects SG&A $421.7M, 27.6% of sales; “kept expenses under control” Improving/Stable
Gross margin disciplineRetail GM 44.5%; focus maintained Retail GM 36.1%; softness vs prior year Retail GM 45.5%; consolidated GM 43.9% Rebound QoQ
Inventory managementInventory +3% YoY Inventory +7% YoY Inventory +6% YoY Elevated but improving vs Q4
Category performanceCosmetics strongest; juniors/children and men’s weaker Stronger: home and cosmetics; weaker: men’s and shoes Stronger: juniors/children, men’s; weaker: home/furniture, shoes, ladies’ apparel Mixed
Capital allocation$107M repurchases $14M repurchases; $273M authorization remaining $98M repurchases; $175M authorization remaining Consistent
Store footprint273 stores 272 stores; announced a future closure (Plano) 272 stores Stable

Management Commentary

  • “We turned in a relatively good first quarter in light of the prevailing economic uncertainty. We kept expenses under control and reported a healthy gross margin. After repurchasing $98 million in stock, we had $1.2 billion in cash and short-term investments remaining.” — CEO William T. Dillard, II (Q1 2026) .
  • “We were happy to see sales strength continue through the third quarter, ending up 3%.” — CEO William T. Dillard, II (Q3 2026 release) .
  • “We were happy to achieve a sales increase for the first time in a while and encouraged by strengthening sales trends in July.” — CEO William T. Dillard, II (Q2 2026 release) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Dillard’s does not hold quarterly earnings calls; therefore, no Q&A or analyst clarifications were provided .

Estimates Context

  • Results vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $10.39 vs $9.25* (beat); revenue $1.547B vs $1.541B* (beat). EPS surprise was meaningful, supported by SG&A discipline and healthy retail gross margin; revenue beat was modest . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global via tool; Primary EPS # of estimates: 1*; Revenue # of estimates: 3*.
  • Given soft comps and category pressure in home/furniture, shoes, and ladies’ apparel, revenue estimates may stabilize near-term, while EPS estimates could drift higher if expense control persists and buybacks continue .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: EPS outperformance and continued buybacks are supportive; trading likely reacts favorably to sustained margin discipline and repurchase cadence, even with modest top-line softness .
  • Watch inventory normalization: +6% YoY requires strong conversion in coming quarters; monitor mix and markdown risk, especially in softer categories .
  • Margin quality: Retail GM at 45.5% and SG&A restraint underpin profitability; risks include category mix and macro demand variability .
  • Capital allocation: $98M buybacks in Q1 and $175M remaining authorization signal ongoing EPS support; dividend continuity ($0.25/share) adds yield stability .
  • Guidance items stable: FY2025 D&A (180), rentals (20), net interest income (~$8), capex (120) maintained vs Q4; watch any intra-year capex revisions like Q3’s 100 level .
  • Category rotation: Strength in juniors/children and men’s; weakness in home/furniture, shoes, ladies’ apparel; merchandising actions to rebalance mix could be a catalyst .
  • Structural note: With no earnings calls, rely on filings/releases; limited Street coverage can amplify price reactions to reported metrics and buyback actions .